Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 93.177384 103.688851 114.368969 126.002264 138.287026 150.846009 164.627635
2025-08-17 75.423000 90.527930 106.502378 124.531966 144.198111 164.891594 188.206861
2025-08-24 65.522017 83.263548 102.586305 124.944089 149.866953 176.584873 207.188167
2025-08-31 56.847408 76.274509 98.020151 123.748082 152.973107 184.799092 221.751433
2025-09-07 51.359248 72.297550 96.296047 125.222952 158.588826 195.380441 238.552393
2025-09-14 46.978308 69.178989 95.185610 127.059604 164.320080 205.848001 255.014386
2025-09-21 41.778285 64.618401 92.005619 126.157468 166.626896 212.215076 266.664104
2025-09-28 36.468214 59.493738 87.796802 123.726079 166.888696 216.026867 275.220416
2025-10-05 34.930406 59.077853 89.253464 128.004992 174.964736 228.780305 293.952762
2025-10-12 32.814328 57.721551 89.401904 130.582326 180.936270 239.032807 309.768288
2025-10-19 29.537817 54.554694 87.068684 129.947866 182.934126 244.547304 320.027041
2025-10-26 26.575904 51.601386 84.840143 129.299931 184.798702 249.813845 329.922566
2025-11-02 24.353196 49.576143 83.758567 130.069772 188.402844 257.185016 342.362572
2025-11-09 21.742788 46.785243 81.517020 129.251689 189.976788 262.088537 351.874592
2025-11-16 19.762165 44.782631 80.225345 129.562837 192.874262 268.519740 363.144662
2025-11-23 17.470851 42.101320 77.859141 128.359204 193.791406 272.499785 371.456694
2025-11-30 16.205505 40.963959 77.585491 129.862442 198.076613 280.532464 384.578923
2025-12-07 15.148195 40.084270 77.622073 131.738203 202.806811 289.091541 398.325219
2025-12-14 13.406941 37.880568 75.640558 130.817039 203.908394 293.172101 406.667801
2025-12-21 11.429863 35.048375 72.593451 128.334290 202.915977 294.613510 411.777716
2025-12-28 11.272842 35.549770 74.529807 132.703327 210.792680 307.010211 430.142742
2026-01-04 10.718614 35.249533 75.223466 135.334326 216.402944 316.601588 445.117364
2026-01-11 9.475278 33.489545 73.605322 134.686697 217.693633 320.802617 453.529194